Duke’s Individual Player Prop Over/Unders for the Final Four

Online sportsbooks have released player ratings for Saturday’s national semifinal between North Carolina and Duke. Here’s an overview of the Blue Devil props and our take on how to bet on each.

Paolo Banchero – Total points

Over/Under 17.5

Our take: In his last 10 games, Banchero scored 21, 21, 23, 10, 18, 20, 17, 19, 22 and 16. He scored 23 and 13 against UNC in their two games. Leaky Black will likely try to stop him, but Banchero seems to have taken another step forward in the stretch and won’t be denied his shots or points. Look for it to pass.

Paolo Banchero – Total Rebounds

Over/Under 6.5

Our Take: He’s split both games against UNC, getting 10 and 5. He’s been dead even on his overs and unders for the last 10, 12 and 14 games he’s played. In his last five 20-point games, Banchero has averaged 3.2 rebounds. Duke will be depending on him to score on Saturday, which may mean giving him a break on rebounding duties. Under.

Mark Williams – Total Points

Over/Under 13.5

Our take: He’s gone over three of his last four games and just missed with 12 against Arkansas. He made 12 of 15 shots in UNC’s two games but only had one to show for it. With outside shots unlikely to come early, expect Williams to take on a bigger scoring load. We will take over.

Mark Williams – Full Rebounds

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Over/Under 9.5

Our take: He topped that number, hitting double digits in five of six games at the end of the regular season in the ACC Tournament. He only made it to one of the last five, though. In the cavernous SuperDome, there will be plenty of thumps pounding on the rims. Look for it to pass.

Wendell Moore Jr. – Total Points

Over/Under 12.5

Our take: He’s gone double digits in his last seven games and more than five of them. With outside shots potentially not falling, Duke will need players to go to the hoop. Moore is one of the most aggressive drives on the team, although he misses more than his share of layups when he does. We’ll go further, but take it at your own risk.

AJ Griffin – Total Points

Over/Under 11.5

Our take: He torched UNC with 27 the first time he faced them but had five in the second meeting. He’s sunk in six of his last eight games, and breaking that chain with SuperDome angles seems like a big ask. We are going to sink.

Jeremy Roach – Total Points

Over/Under 9.5

Roach’s hoop workouts were a key factor in Duke’s postseason run. He has scored nine or more goals in his last eight games and 10 of the last 11. Duke will look to lead and Roach will lead the way. More than.

(Accessory lines courtesy of BetOnline (www.BetOnline.ag).

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